Sky reporter Florian Plettenberg shares his early predictions for the 2026 summer transfer window, focusing on Bayern Munich’s key contract decisions. With Leon Gore…

Sky reporter Florian Plettenberg has once again sparked discussion among Bayern Munich fans by sharing his predictions for a future transfer window, echoing a format he used successfully last year. Looking ahead to a pivotal summer in which several high-profile contracts are set to expire, Plettenberg outlined what he believes could happen with five key players: Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Dayot Upamecano, Raphaël Guerreiro and club captain Manuel Neuer. If his forecasts prove accurate, Bayern could be facing a period of both continuity and significant change.
One of the most notable predictions concerns Serge Gnabry. Despite an inconsistent spell in recent seasons, Plettenberg believes the German winger will extend his contract. Gnabry’s long-standing connection to the club, combined with his experience and versatility across the front line, makes him a valuable squad player even when he is not a guaranteed starter. Bayern have historically preferred to keep proven performers rather than risk losing them for nothing, and an extension for Gnabry would align with that strategy, especially if it comes with adjusted financial terms and a clearly defined role.
In contrast, Leon Goretzka is expected to leave the club on a free transfer. Once a central figure in Bayern’s midfield, Goretzka has faced increasing competition and tactical shifts that have limited his influence. Plettenberg’s prediction suggests that both player and club may feel it is time to move on. Allowing Goretzka to depart without a transfer fee would be far from ideal financially, but it could free up wages and space in the squad for younger or more tactically suited midfielders.
Raphaël Guerreiro is another player Plettenberg expects to stay. The Portuguese international has impressed with his technical quality, intelligence and ability to play multiple roles, whether at full-back or in midfield. An extension would make sense for Bayern, as Guerreiro offers depth and creativity, particularly against compact defenses. His relatively low-profile presence compared to star names also makes him an efficient and reliable asset.
Dayot Upamecano’s situation appears more strategic. According to Plettenberg, the French defender is likely to extend his contract, but with a release clause included. This would protect Bayern’s immediate sporting interests while acknowledging Upamecano’s potential ambition to move on in the future. A release clause could also ensure that, if he does leave, Bayern receive a clearly defined and substantial fee rather than risking a free transfer.
Perhaps the most emotional prediction involves Manuel Neuer. Plettenberg has a feeling that the legendary goalkeeper could choose to end his career when his contract expires. Neuer’s impact on Bayern Munich and modern goalkeeping cannot be overstated, and his retirement would mark the end of an era. While Bayern have already begun planning for life after him, replacing his leadership and influence will remain a significant challenge.
Overall, Plettenberg’s predictions paint a picture of a club balancing respect for experience with the need for renewal. Extensions for Gnabry, Guerreiro and Upamecano would provide stability, while the departures of Goretzka and potentially Neuer would signal a generational shift. Whether these forecasts come true or not, they underline how decisive the upcoming transfer window could be for Bayern Munich’s future direction.